Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 16.394228 19.073189 21.985921 25.379561 29.215979 33.409427 38.330670
2025-05-25 11.575594 15.167774 19.473295 24.972138 31.762165 39.822749 50.061544
2025-06-01 8.685389 12.536607 17.527218 24.374301 33.416089 44.828007 60.181780
2025-06-08 6.561099 10.321268 15.539059 23.151885 33.788692 47.910137 67.817379
2025-06-15 5.671639 9.582665 15.323135 24.123911 36.982794 54.741154 80.691453
2025-06-22 4.848490 8.762622 14.816419 24.529553 39.307655 60.448895 92.339963
2025-06-29 4.011227 7.752447 13.845155 24.062281 40.221816 64.124147 101.270533
2025-07-06 3.251925 6.723526 12.674830 23.096646 40.210276 66.345712 108.126043
2025-07-13 3.021883 6.587593 12.948927 24.465345 43.922711 74.359592 124.051662
2025-07-20 2.791737 6.407471 13.110952 25.637852 47.379742 82.164505 140.079597
2025-07-27 2.525353 6.107166 13.009861 26.323053 50.051567 88.860896 154.721605
2025-08-03 2.243131 5.722270 12.695140 26.576216 51.977996 94.436389 167.848878
2025-08-10 1.896630 5.162524 12.023853 26.206533 52.978163 98.875105 179.971114
2025-08-17 1.576266 4.598987 11.274207 25.625385 53.597844 102.814953 191.714715
2025-08-24 1.305552 4.087687 10.547223 24.986532 54.029589 106.435966 203.130025
2025-08-31 1.039990 3.517194 9.588038 23.733001 53.140778 107.619601 210.373890
2025-09-07 0.956703 3.418994 9.688304 24.725161 56.711009 117.045735 232.566904
2025-09-14 0.850588 3.227948 9.535534 25.139358 59.145133 124.519909 251.673222
2025-09-21 0.715689 2.911401 9.017952 24.662041 59.693721 128.479012 264.611999
2025-09-28 0.581144 2.552485 8.323668 23.675609 59.062013 130.113863 273.326143
2025-10-05 0.556432 2.560631 8.611914 25.073744 63.672296 142.196903 302.169969
2025-10-12 0.525374 2.537883 8.810761 26.271286 67.929160 153.810397 330.665013
2025-10-19 0.480567 2.450804 8.812245 26.971045 71.124429 163.472559 355.873438